SINGAPORE -- With the Singapore elections happening on Friday, there is plenty of speculation on whether the dominant People's Action Party (PAP) will retain its grip on parliament seats.
Professional betters are getting in on the game, as well. These odds, claiming to be from bookies, have started circulating on message boards and social networks in Singapore -- I personally got a text with the details as well. A bookie, or bookmaker, is a person that organises betting illegally, outside of the state-sanctioned gambling body Singapore Pools.
Here's who bookies think will win: (emphasis mine)
Ang Mo Kio GRC : PAP-79.4% , RP-20.6% (PAP wins)
Sembawang GRC : PAP-58.4% , NSP-41.6% (PAP wins)
Bishan- Toa Payoh GRC : PAP-60.6% , SPP-39.4% (PAP wins)
Pasir Ris -Punggol GRC : PAP-77.4% , SDA-22.6% (PAP wins)
Aljunied GRC : WP-60.9% , PAP-39.1% (WP wins)
Jurong GRC : PAP-68.7% , SingFirst-31.3% (PAP wins)
Marine Parade GRC : PAP-54.2% , WP-45.8% (PAP wins)
Nee Soon GRC : PAP-60.3% , WP-39.7% (PAP wins)
Tampines GRC : PAP-74.4% , NSP-25.6% (PAP wins)
Tanjong Pagar GRC : PAP-61.2% , SingFirst-38.8% (PAP wins)
Chua Chu Kang GRC : PAP-71.8% , PPP-28.2% (PAP wins)
East Coast GRC : PAP-46.2% , WP-53.8% (WP wins)
Holland-Bukit Timah GRC : PAP-58.7% , SDP-41.3% (PAP wins)
West Coast GRC : PAP-68.6% , RP-31.4% (PAP wins)
Marsiling-Yew Tee GRC : PAP-70.2% , SDP-29.8% (PAP wins)
Jalan Besar GRC : PAP-58.1% , WP-41.9% (PAP wins)
Radin Mas SMC : PAP-67.2% , RP-31.2% , Independent-1.6% (PAP wins)
Bukit Batok SMC : PAP-62.9% , SDP-36.9% , Independent-0.2% (PAP wins)
MacPherson SMC : PAP-59.3% , WP-39.6% , NSP-1.1% (PAP wins)
Hong Kah North SMC : PAP-61.3% , SPP-38.7% (PAP wins)
Bukit Panjang SMC : PAP-65.1% , SDP-34.9% (PAP wins)
Fengshan SMC : PAP-45.8% , WP-54.2% (WP wins)
Hougang SMC : WP-65.4% , PAP-34.6% (WP wins)
Mountbatten SMC : PAP-56.4% , SPP-43.6% (PAP wins)
Pioneer SMC : PAP-67.6% , NSP-32.4% (PAP wins)
Potong Pasir SMC : PAP-45.1% , SPP-54.9% (SPP wins)
Punggol East SMC : WP-66.9% , PAP-33.1% (WP wins)
Sengkang West SMC : PAP-45.8% , WP-54.2% (WP wins)
Yuhua SMC : PAP-63.9% , SDP-36.1% (PAP wins)
An SMC (single member constituency) elects one member of parliament. A GRC (group representation constituency) will elect a group in -- there are five members in Aljunied and four in East Coast.
In the last elections in 2011, the incumbent PAP won 80 of the 87 contested seats, and the Workers' Party (WP) got seven seats. None of the other parties won any seats.
If the bookies are right this time, 14 non-PAP members will get elected Friday.
The PAP will stay dominant, as expected, but a greater win for the opposition on Friday continues a trend of the PAP suffering a decline in its winning margin over the years.