21 million driverless cars could be on the road by 2035, report says

The U.S. will pave the way with Japan not far behind.
Original image replaced with Mashable logo
Original image has been replaced. Credit: Mashable

Driverless car technology could take hold faster than expected.

Analyst organization IHS Automotive increased its estimate of the number driverless and self-driving cars it expects to see across the globe. In January 2014, IHS predicted self-driving car sales would reach 11.8 million by 2035.

Now, however, due to the increased research and development of autonomous technology by carmakers and tech firms, IHS anticipates nearly 21 million driverless cars to be sold worldwide by 2035 -- nearly doubling its previous estimate in just a year and a half.


You May Also Like

IHS forecasts the United States to lead the charge in driverless car deployment with several thousand autonomous cars on roadways by 2020. This number will grow to nearly 4.5 million self-driving vehicles in America by 2035.

Japan won't be far behind. IHS anticipates Japan will "ramp up industry coordination and investment ahead of the Summer Olympics in Tokyo in 2020."

Though America and Japan will pave the way for driverless cars, China is predicted to be the volume leader for the technology. IHS believes more than 5.7 million vehicles in China will have some sort of autonomous tech onboard by 2035. 

Eastern and Western Europe will have an aggregate 4.5 million driverless cars by that date, according to the report. The Middle East and Africa will see a million automated vehicle sold over the same period.

Unsurprisingly, IHS points out autonomous vehicles will face challenges in cyber security and software reliability. However, it points out that these will decrease over time as the industry recognizes and addresses the threats.

Have something to add to this story? Share it in the comments.


Topics Cars

Mashable Potato

Recommended For You

Winter storm road conditions: How to check your area online
A bunch of parked cars covered in snow

Apple plans a 'high-end' Ultra line, including iPhone Fold, report says
Apple logo on iPhone


Polestar will launch four new electric cars by 2028
Polestar new models

More in Tech
Amazon's sister site is having a one-day sale, and this Bissell TurboClean deal is too good to skip
A woman using the Bissell TurboClean Cordless Hard Floor Cleaner Mop and Lightweight Wet/Dry Vacuum.

The best smartwatch you've never heard of is on sale for less than $50
Nothing CMF Watch 3 Pro in light green with blue and green abstract background

Reddit r/all takes another step into the grave
Reddit logo on phone screen

Take back your screen from ads and trackers with this $16 tool
AdGuard Family Plan: Lifetime Subscription


Trending on Mashable
NYT Connections hints today: Clues, answers for April 3, 2026
Connections game on a smartphone

Wordle today: Answer, hints for April 3, 2026
Wordle game on a smartphone

Google launches Gemma 4, a new open-source model: How to try it
Google Gemma

NYT Strands hints, answers for April 3, 2026
A game being played on a smartphone.

The biggest stories of the day delivered to your inbox.
These newsletters may contain advertising, deals, or affiliate links. By clicking Subscribe, you confirm you are 16+ and agree to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.
Thanks for signing up. See you at your inbox!