Warm records blew cold records away by the thousands last month

The ratio of warm to cold records was wildly skewed in October. What does it mean?
 By 
Andrew Freedman
 on 
Original image replaced with Mashable logo
Original image has been replaced. Credit: Mashable

In recent years, climate scientists have noticed a growing imbalance in the ratio of warm temperature records to cold records in the U.S., with warm records being set more frequently.

But even with this trend, October 2016 stands out as being particularly unusual.

Last month, the lower 48 states recorded 7,025 warm temperature records (record daytime highs and record warm nighttime temperatures), but just 508 record cold temperatures (including record cold daytime temperatures and record lows).


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That's a greater than 10-to-1 ratio in favor of warm records.

This new data, released from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) on Nov. 8, speaks volumes about just how unusually warm October was.

The month was the third-warmest October on record, and the year-to-date is running as the country's second-warmest year in 122 years of record-keeping.

Original image replaced with Mashable logo
Original image has been replaced. Credit: Mashable

So far this year, there have been 57,177 warm temperature records set or tied in the U.S. and just 11,912 cold temperature records.

Globally, 2016 is likely to be the warmest year on record, beating 2015 for the dubious title.

The longer term ratio of warm to cold records would be expected to average out to about 1-to-1 in the absence of a changing climate.

However, there are far more warm records set or tied now than cold records, and climate studies have tied this trend to human-caused global warming.

In other words, we better get used to it.

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Andrew Freedman

Andrew Freedman is Mashable's Senior Editor for Science and Special Projects. Prior to working at Mashable, Freedman was a Senior Science writer for Climate Central. He has also worked as a reporter for Congressional Quarterly and Greenwire/E&E Daily. His writing has also appeared in the Washington Post, online at The Weather Channel, and washingtonpost.com, where he wrote a weekly climate science column for the "Capital Weather Gang" blog. He has provided commentary on climate science and policy for Sky News, CBC Radio, NPR, Al Jazeera, Sirius XM Radio, PBS NewsHour, and other national and international outlets. He holds a Masters in Climate and Society from Columbia University, and a Masters in Law and Diplomacy from The Fletcher School at Tufts University.

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